Interpretation Of The Stock Market: The Bottom Of The Market Will Be At The Bottom Of The Formation Stage.
A shares are a wait-and-see period during the "two sessions".
Correspondingly, the volume of the two cities is shrinking again this week.
The Shanghai stock exchange closed 128 billion 450 million yuan on Friday and 175 billion 660 million yuan in Shenzhen stock market, all of which hit a new level since June last year.
Tomorrow, Liu Shiyu, the new chairman of the SFC, will attend the "two sessions" press conference.
Market watching weekend news, stock index and Shenzhen stock index three index continues to be a state of differentiation, the intensity of differentiation has weakened.
The Shanghai stock index on Friday afternoon was most prominent in its stability and stability (which has been described in last week's column). This Tuesday, three and five continue to move, but the Shanghai stock index can no longer stand for a short-term high position. 2800 points have been repeatedly depressed or even lost in Friday's intraday market. It is necessary to rely on the late rally to maintain a small red plate (the three index of Shenzhen stock market still receives green disk), and the high point on the daily chart shows a small dome shape day by day.
Such a "stiff" stock index can not obscure the weakness of the overall market. The three major indexes of Shenzhen stock market, especially the gem index, do not stabilize with the Shanghai stock index. The more it shows that most of the stock holders in the market are not confident enough, it is necessary to have a great advantage to reverse.
The two big news this week is more disturbing to the market. One is that the domestic import and export data are surprisingly bad, and the other is the ECB's big move on Thursday.
Negative interest rate
Intensity.
The two big news made the market feel pressure again. On Tuesday, A shares opened sharply, and the European stock market rose first and then fell sharply on Thursday.
It is difficult to find reasons for the recent rise in fundamentals. Will there be any surprises this weekend? Registration system will be a topic that can not be avoided at Liu Shiyu's press conference, and it is estimated that it will have a direct impact on the market.
The three tier average system, the Shenzhen stock market, the three indexes are still full to the light, and in the short term, the stock index is a bit distorted. The market must effectively cross the 2930 point area, and the key position next week is around 2815.
Gem
The index has a larger support above 1850 points, but the first threshold to determine the turning point must be effectively across the 2000 point.
Generally speaking, there is a "land price" after the "land volume". There is a revelation in the time cycle. Next week, there is a cycle window suitable for the stage. Can it be realized? It is difficult and hopeful.
One thing is quite clear: if the two sessions are to be explored, the low probability will be the bottom of the current adjustment.
Next week is cold and not pessimistic. On Wednesday, I was on my WeChat public address.
equity market
The topic of "what will happen after stability" has published its own observation results, pointing out that "fear only fear, once the task of maintaining stability is over, the stock index will come up for a fall". After the "two sessions", the stock market is restless. The key is the direction choice. The current feeling is a "tired" word, the upward opportunity is small, and the next week is expected to be too cold.
According to the analysis logic of this column, the market has received 2810 points on Friday. The short-term maximum P is about 1.1, and the core value of P is about 0.7, which is better than that of last Friday. If the market is to be further explored next week, it will not be a bad thing.
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