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Changing Your Rookie Stocks To Your Stock Market

2013/10/3 17:43:00 14

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< p > orthodox technical analysis is unpredicted.

It belongs to the category of statistics, giving only a < a href= "http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx? Classid=101112107105 > probability analysis < /a >.

That is to say, technical indicators can only give us a buying and selling signal.

< /p >


< p > technical indicators from a large perspective.

The key to using technical indicators is to find technical indicators suitable for analysis scale in a specific market, or to find market scale suitable for certain indicators.

< /p >


< p > technical analysis is to say, choose the scale, take the stage! Choose the scale with obvious characteristics, and assume the risk of the opposite characteristics within the small range. This is the reason why technical analysis will inevitably have "defects", and this "defect" is inevitable. < /p >


< p > that is to say that any technical indicators are congenital "defects". Maybe the problem is here: shareholders can not tolerate the "flaw" of technical indicators, they always try to pursue perfection! Maybe everyone is getting farther and farther away from success in this pursuit of perfection. They always think of "better", "better" and "more perfect".

When a stockholder sells stocks through a certain technical index, it has a distance of 20% from the highest point.

Then he began to play the game of adjusting parameters, and when he sent out a false signal, he began playing the game of modifying parameters.

He does not understand that (adjustment sensitivity) there will be a loss. Even some investors will completely negate the value of such technical indicators after several false signals.

So as to completely abandon this indicator, and to find more perfect indicators! < /p >


< p > perhaps human nature is the pursuit of perfection.

Of course, technical analysts are no longer struggling in the strange circles. They start to pursue perfection in other ways.

They began to search for more sampling features to expand the idea of technical indicators analysis.

Some join the volume, some add time and space, and some even begin to graft different technical indicators to achieve higher accuracy.

There are so many strange indicators that I have never seen before.

< /p >


< p > I do not mean that the high sampling technology index can not improve the accuracy of the analysis.

But the more precise indicators, the worse the stability! Time goes by, and the market changes slightly. This technical index will be eliminated by the market! Maybe this kind of elimination happens in the stage of index research and development. Einstein said that there must be uncertainty in the formula that can predict the future!!! /p.


< p > no one can cultivate invincible technical indicators, but only allows you to live forever in the contradictions of time. The more indicators of analysis, the more opportunities for contradictions, and when you get a benefit, it is inevitable to absorb the disadvantages! < /p >


< p > the reasons for the failure of many investors: < /p >


< p > 1, knowing the trend, but there is no reasonable capital management.

< /p >


< p > two is the wrong position of intervention or the technology of stop loss is not high, plus unscientific capital management, the final result is a huge loss.

< /p >


< div style= "page-break-after: always" > span style= "display: none" > /span > /div >


<p>  三,很多人对形态,资金流量,主力成本(注意,认识这些需要相当高的水平),但最终操作下来怎么又不赚钱呢?因为对概率认识不够,市场没绝对,我是指各种形态的主力进驻股,我们认识这一切股票,心里的认识是什么,我的认识是百分之五十成功率足矣!也就是说,一年我做二十只股,我是允许十只是我看错了的,因为我不是每个主力的朋友,所以必定会有看错的,尽管换手和量能是一个很重要的看准指标,但同样,在最精确的符合各条件必涨股也会随投资机会或投资产业的变化而被主力所弃,当一个主力开始抛弃的时候,这只股被判了死刑,这只股我们看到能涨一倍,当出现相反动态时,也就能跌一倍了,那么概率究竟是什么呢?也就是你的任何一次操作都要面对失败的准备,而面对失败要考虑的一个因素就是止损成本!比如,我看好的一种<a href="htt

p://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx?Classid=101112107107">操盘形态</a>,一年肯定会出现三只左右,这种形态肯定会有一只翻翻,那么我们假设资金是十万,出现这种个股的时候,我们每只介入三万三,每只的介入点不可追涨,这样止损成本会太高,试想一只个股你如果在箱体上方介入,但主力跟你开了个玩笑,随后抛弃了这只个股,那么到你的箱体底部最极限止损位我估计怎么也得百分之二十,所以这样你的止损成本太高,尽管你赚的钱也不少,但是这样的止损会让你忙碌而没有收获的!(注意我所说的箱体只是随便说的一种形态,当然象<a href="http://news.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx?Classid=101112107108">三角收敛</a>,象平台振仓,象均线扩散,象纯粹等待,象年线密码等等很多形态都同样适用于止损成本)那么你的每只止损成本在百分之五到百分之十之间,试想三只有两只最终止损

Out of the game, then a loss of 6600 yuan, and you finally succeed in this profit may reach thirty thousand yuan, then you one hundred thousand yuan in this form of profit in this year is more than 20 percent, all of these operations have a previous problem, clear stop loss, and must stop the loss, if you haven't learned to stop, then the market welcomes you, because the market needs such a person, for the main force is the gospel! The above analysis is a typical capital management, the success probability plus stop loss cost generally discussed.

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