Weekly Review Of Raw Materials For Textile Industry In Hebei Lu Yu Market (2015.1.19-23)

This week, the overall market of Lu Yu's textile industry continued to remain weak before the holiday.

In terms of raw materials, Xinjiang cotton and outer cotton sales in Shandong's inland reservoir are slightly slow, close to stagnation, while the sale of high quality real estate cotton is relatively active. At present, the mainland's lint 3128 level spot is 13000 yuan / ton, and the cotton enterprises are running smoothly. According to the textile enterprises, facing the current Xinjiang cotton with low price ratio, it is better to use high quality real estate cotton.

In terms of yarn,

Pre holiday sales continue to shrink and prices are much more controversial. Most manufacturers are running poorly and production keeps the lowest operating rate per year.

After understanding, downstream textile factory due to orders,

Cut down, part of the retail trade dealers have closed down business to start the holiday trip, slightly normal in Shandong area.

Construction starts at half a day, and there are plans for early holidays.

Henan's knitting market is slightly better than the woven market, but sales are also declining.

The pre market market is very poor, leading to the difficulty of spinning enterprises. Now, if orders are placed, even if prices are low, they must be kept flat. This is to pave the way for making up for the bad market and selling difficulties before and after the Spring Festival.

This trend is expected to continue before and after the Spring Festival.

The market demand of polyester cotton yarn has been maintained for the first time, and the price is generally low.

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After a year of marketization return, the new year's new atmosphere of the cotton market in 2015 is pregnant with opportunities.

First of all, consumption has improved.

Profits of domestic textile enterprises have been significantly improved. Enterprises reflect profits above 1000 yuan, and high yarn profits are better. Cotton procurement shows a continuous and stable pattern.

Despite the "haze" of widening the spread of alternatives, the annual consumption of all parties is still neutral.

Second, production expectations are improving.

When the new flower comes into the market at the beginning of this year, the parties expect that the output of cotton production in Xinjiang is less than 4 million tons. At present, the cotton production in Xinjiang is expected to increase continuously.

Judging from the amount of processing, the output of this year will not be less than 4 million 300 thousand tons. Taking into account the factors leading to the emergence of cotton at the beginning of the year, the output will probably end up at 4 million 500 thousand tons.

Again, the volume of imports may be higher than that of many agencies.

At present, the number of imports is expected to be up to 1 million 500 thousand tons this year. However, judging from the recent performance of China's signing of US cotton and India cotton, the import volume this year may exceed the forecast.

Although the state strictly controls quotas, since 2015, the amount of signing cotton and cotton has been around 40 thousand tons for two consecutive weeks. China has continued to maintain the status of the US cotton sign leader.

In addition, India cotton prices continue to decline, there is no sign of stop, to solve such a high inventory, the largest deposit is still our country, and the only way to enter China in the late period is the total customs clearance, this possibility occurs in the late stage of the year.

Therefore, the probability of import volume exceeding 1 million 500 thousand tons this year is very great.

Finally, the policy is predictable and pparent.

From September 2014 to January 20th, the cotton industry conference in Beijing was held. The policy aspect continued to emphasize two key policies that affect the market. First, in 2015, only 894 thousand tons of quotas were issued in principle, and other quotas were no longer issued; secondly, in 2015, it was necessary to meet several requirements for dumping and storage, including a large number of new cotton sales, and the market was in short supply, and cotton prices rose.

Compared with previous years, the policy has maintained greater coherence and pparency, which is crucial for participants in the market.